Go-Jamaica Weather Watch

With Jamaica under a Hurricane Warning the latest bulletin from the National Hurricane Centre (NHC) gives the island no comfort. Hurricane Dean is still heading straight for Jamaica …

BULLETIN 
HURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22A 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007 
200 PM AST SAT AUG 18 2007 

...DEAN REMAINS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE...HEAVY SQUALLS 
SPREADING OVER HISPANIOLA...  

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE 
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICAN 
REPUBLIC BORDER...AND FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM 
THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO PORT-AU-PRINCE.  A HURRICANE 
WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.  A HURRICANE WARNING 
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING 
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND 
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.  

AT 2 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A 
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA...FROM THE PROVINCE OF 
CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO. A TROPICAL STORM 
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN 
REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BARAHONA...AND FOR COAST OF 
HAITI NORTH OF PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN HAITI-DOMINICAN 
REPUBLIC BORDER.   A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL 
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS. 

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE 
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH 
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. 

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...INCLUDING WESTERN 
CUBA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE 
PROGRESS OF DEAN. 

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. 

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE 
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED 
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. 

AT 200 PM AST...1800Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED 
NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.4 WEST OR ABOUT 505 MILES... 
815 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 175 MILES... 
285 KM...SOUTH OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. 

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A 
GENERAL TRACK BETWEEN THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL 
BE MOVING SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA TODAY AND EARLY SUNDAY. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH 
HIGHER GUSTS.  DEAN IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR 
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS 
IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM 
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 
MILES...335 KM. 

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE 
HUNTER PLANE WAS 930 MB...27.46 INCHES. 

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER 
JAMAICA...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES.  AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 
3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI WITH 
AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 
TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO...WITH ISOLATED STORM 
TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE- 
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 

REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION...15.9 N...69.4 W.  MOVEMENT 
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...930 MB. 

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 
500 PM AST.