How
Brown sees the Cup
With
all the logic and sound reasoning that he has presented for the
above three, Brown will reserve his vote for the country where he
is currently doing a one-year attachment - England.
"My
team though is England. As long as Michael Owen stays fit they should
stand a chance despite the number of injuries that they are experiencing,"
he said.
The
captain and midfield lynchpin David Beckham, Kieron Dyer, Nicky
Butt, Ashley Cole, Robbie Fowler and first-string goalkeeper David
Seaman are all nursing injuries while Gary Neville, Steven Gerrard
and Danny Murphy who have all been ruled out.
"Outside
of this though, I get a sneaky feeling that this one will produce
a shocker. With the number of injuries to some of the top players,
the situation is ripe for that happening. Just this week Zidane
got an injury and the others are well documented."
One
of the outsiders with a chance of stepping through the back gate
are African Nations Cup winners Cameroon, a youthful but experienced
team which has been together for four years.
"An
outsider could come from Africa. Cameroon are the team I would give
the best chance out of Africa," he said.
"Nigeria
perhaps produce better quality players but organisation and the
group that they are drawn in (with Argentina, England and Sweden)
could make it difficult for them to get past the first round," said
Brown.
The
outsiders could also come from Europe in the form of a team which
has a reputation of promising much leading up to the tournament
but choking on the big stage.
At
a time when not many eyes are being focussed on them, Spain could
pleasantly surprise, Brown believes.
"Spain
have been there many times and have flattered to deceive. This one
though could be the one at which they do it. To me they are the
outsiders to the big four (France, Argentina, Brazil and England).
Fan
favourites such as Italy and Portugal were given some thought before
having their chances dismissed. Italy, despite their good showing
at Euro 2000, are not the type of team they have been in the past,
Brown said.
In
their squad, he said, are good players such as Roma playmake Francesco
Totti and Inter Milan goalscorer Christian Vieri but "they are not
dazzling".
"They
never set the world alight in their qualifiers," Brown said before
stating that their key player Totti was not 100 per cent fit.
Like
Totti, Portugal's Luis Figo has been struggling for fitness and
form. Figo's problem, according to Brown, has to do with the length
of his season.
"The
season has been particularly long - especially for players who took
part in the Champions League finals and I suspect that it will take
its toll. Roberto Carlos (Real Madrid and Brazil) has been quiet
(on the football field), Zidane just got injured, Figo is still
struggling and there is Michael Ballack (Bayer Leverkusen and Germany).
"Portugal's
other top man, Manuel Rui Costa, is just getting back to playing
condition following an injury layoff.
As
far CONCACAF's representatives go, the United States and Costa Rica
will shoulder the burden, Brown believes.
"Usually
Mexico are the strong representatives but this time the US and Costa
Rica will take it up," he said.
"In
the case of the US, the number of games they have played in the
past month and a half could help or hurt them. They could be now
fine-tuned or arrive a tired bunch."
If
they do not arrive a tired bunch then they could make an impression
as Brown says they are in a fairly reasonable group with Portugal,
South Korea and Poland. Portugal are the toughest team to take on
and providing they play well, they could take second place and advance.
Costa
Rica are drawn with Brazil, Turkey and first-time qualifiers China.
"After
Brazil, any number can play in this group. If they play at their
best then Costa Rica should be able to make it out also," said Brown.
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