Favourites fighting for survival
By
Tony Becca - On The Boundary
WHEN
the World Cup of football kicked off on May 31, France, Argentina,
Italy, Portugal, Germany, and England were numbered among the favourites
and one of them could still win the Cup.
For
one of them to do so, however, one of them will have to make it
to the second round, and right now they are all in trouble - particularly
so defending champions France and top favourites Argentina.
With
two of the three matches in the first round gone, with only one
to come, France are one point, Argentina three, Italy three, Portugal
three, Germany four, England four and none of them are safe.
In
fact, in what would be something for the record books, they could
all miss the second round.
Germany,
playing in Group E, could be out if they lose to Cameroon and Ireland
beat Saudi Arabia; Italy, playing in Group G, could be out if they
draw with Mexico and Croatia beat Ecuador; Portugal could be out
if they draw with South Korea in Group D and the United States draw
with Poland; and in Group F, England could fail to make it if they
lose to Nigeria and Argentina beat Sweden.
Although
it would go down to goal difference, England could also fail to
make it if they lose to Nigeria and Argentina draw with Sweden.
While
a draw will definitely send Germany and England into the second
round, however, while Italy could still draw and go through, and
while Portugal could still draw and make it on goal difference if
Poland defeat the USA, France and Argentina must win in order to
advance. Any other result and they will be out.
After
losing to Senegal in the opening round and then drawing with Uruguay
in Group A, France, playing without ace mid-fielder Zinedine Zidane
and still to score a goal, must defeat Denmark - and even then,
with Denmark and Senegal on four points each, it will come down
to goal difference.
It
is the same story for Argentina who lost to England after defeating
Nigeria and who now face Sweden.
With
England and Sweden on four points each and England to play Nigeria,
a draw would leave Argentina out in the cold. A draw would mean
that their only chance of moving on would be if England lose to
Nigeria - and even then their fate would depend on goal difference.
The
World Cup is sizzling. It is so hot that when the first round comes
to an end, goals scored and goals conceded, not points won, may
decide some of the teams going into the second round.
In
Group F, if Argentina defeat Sweden and England lose to Nigeria,
Sweden and England will be tied for second place; and if Argentina
and Sweden draw and England lose to Nigeria, Argentina and England
will be tied for second place.
In
Group E, if Germany and Cameroon draw and Ireland defeat Saudi Arabia
all three teams would end up tied on five points each; and in Group
G, if Italy defeat Mexico and Croatia defeat Ecuador, Italy, Mexico
and Croatia would be tied on six points each.
The
most interesting scenario, however, is in Group A.
Denmark
and Senegal are on four points each, France and Uruguay are on one
each. That means that if France defeat Denmark and Uruguay defeat
Senegal all four teams will finish locked on four points each.
It
also means that depending on goals scored and goals conceded in
those two matches, France, now fighting for survival, could end
up on top.
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